blogenlust
9.16.2004

Best case, worst case scenario in Iraq


The National Intelligence Estimate hates America:The Reconstruction: U.S. Intelligence Shows Pessimism on Iraq's Future:
A classified National Intelligence Estimate prepared for President Bush in late July spells out a dark assessment of prospects for Iraq, government officials said Wednesday. The estimate outlines three possibilities for Iraq through the end of 2005, with the worst case being developments that could lead to civil war, the officials said. The most favorable outcome described is an Iraq whose stability would remain tenuous in political, economic and security terms. "There's a significant amount of pessimism," said one government official who has read the document, which runs about 50 pages. The officials declined to discuss the key judgments - concise, carefully written statements of intelligence analysts' conclusions - included in the document.
This isn't particularly groundbreaking, since the British came out with a report a few weeks ago with similar conclusions. The difference is that the British report was hardly given any coverage in our media. It will be interesting to see to what levels this Administration will stoop to keep Iraq out of the headlines over the course of the next 45 days.