blogenlust
10.23.2004

Electoral Dynamics


Kos has a rundown of the electoral dynamics going into the last week of the campaign. I was initially surprised that Bush wasn't putting up a fight for Ohio, but they must now realize that it isn't worth the energy to try and squeeze out a victory. This means that the election will come down to about four or five states: Florida, Iowa, New Mexico, and Wisconsin (maybe Minnesota). Wisconsin looks like it will be the battleground state of the year. Kos also has his own electoral vote prediction: 311 to 227 for Kerry. Mine are as follows: 1) 304 (Kerry), 234 (Bush), or 2) 294 Kerry, 244 (Bush).